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U.S. Economy Shrugs Off Iran, AI, Tariffs Like It's Got Eight Arms

KEY POINTS

  • Iran's threats to close the Strait of Hormuz have pushed oil prices up 43% to over $103 per barrel as of March 13, 2026.
  • Despite tariff fears and AI job risks, the U.S. economy grew with a manageable 4.4% unemployment rate in February 2026.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell received a supportive federal judge ruling on March 12, preventing Trump’s attempts to cut interest rates.

Despite Iran threatening to turn the Strait of Hormuz into oil’s most unwanted traffic jam, sending prices up 43% to over $103 a barrel as of March 13, 2026, the U.S. economy keeps flexing. Thanks to being a net oil exporter now (take that, 20th-century crises!), the GDP might even puff up, all while President Trump backpedaled from some nuclear tariff death threats last April. Even Jerome Powell's Fed chair got judicial bodyguards from a federal judge on March 12, blocking Trump’s rate cuts. With unemployment flirting at 4.4%, lower than 72% of months since the 1940s, and AI buzzing jobs away, America’s money machine refuses to quit—probably because everyone’s betting billions on U.S. stocks powering the robot overlords.

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Source: Axios | Published: 3/15/2026 | Author: Neil Irwin

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