1999 Predicted a Black President, Space Travel, and Tech Bliss. Got Half Right.
KEY POINTS
- •In 1999, Pew surveyed Americans who predicted a Black U.S. president by 2050, realized early by Obama in 2008.
- •Bill Gates predicted mobile device ubiquity and smart ads in 1999, which largely came true by 2010.
- •Respondents predicted terrorism, warming planet, democracy shifts, and cures for cancer and AIDS by 2025; results are mixed.
Back in 1999, before Y2K had us dialing into doom, U.S. adults flexed some future vision muscle predicting a Black president by 2050 (mic drop: Obama scored in 2008 and 2012). They nailed civilian space travel aspirations (spoiler: mostly billionaires and Katy Perry’s space selfies via Bezos’ Blue Origin). Bill Gates in '99 dropped a prophecy about pocket-sized internet gods that do everything—including creepy targeted ads that know your soul’s shopping habits. Pew’s survey showed 55% liked tech convenience, 39% braced for digital dependency. Democracy? Mostly thought it'd thrive, despite surges in dictatorships. Cancer? No cure by 2025, but mRNA and nanoparticles are auditioning. AIDS? A few miracle stem cell transplants in 2022 and 2024 made believers sweat miracles. Oh, an environmental warming guess? Check, and check-hot. And terrorists? Pew nailed it pre-9/11. Basically, the future’s part prophecy, part glitchy download.
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Source: Axios | Published: 1/1/2026 | Author: April Rubin