Trump’s Shutdown: Job Growth or Layoffs 2.0 Drama?

In a plot twist worthy of bad reality TV, the U.S. faces a partial government shutdown this week while payroll employment somehow kept *adding* jobs during past shutdowns—221,000 in Dec 2018-Jan 2019 and 220,000 in Oct 2013. The Trump administration, however, threatens to flip the script by permanently firing federal workers, a move even the Office of Management and Budget blushes at, warning about legal battles. Meanwhile, furloughed workers stay technically employed but can’t shop or chill normally, postponing an unemployment spike to maybe +0.2%. So brace yourself for a shutdown that’s more paperwork ghost town than economic apocalypse—but with added legal drama and flair.

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Source: Axios | Published: 9/29/2025 | Author: Neil Irwin