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Kalshi Pays Out Bets On Supreme Leader’s Death Pre-Death but Not Post-Death

Kalshi Pays Out Bets On Supreme Leader’s Death Pre-Death but Not Post-Death
Photo by Ries Bosch on Unsplash

KEY POINTS

  • Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour announced on X that bets on Ali Khamenei leaving Supreme Leader office would pay at last trading price before his death.
  • The company said its policies prohibit markets directly tied to death and it refunded fees while reimbursing shares bought post-Khamenei's death.
  • Some users criticized Kalshi for unclear communication and not narrowing market parameters enough, sparking debate about fair betting boundaries.

Kalshi, the futures trading platform led by CEO Tarek Mansour, recently found itself juggling a delicate dance on X by deciding to pay out bets on 'Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?' at the 'last trading price before his death,' emphasizing their noble rule against profiting from death. After Khamenei's actual demise, Kalshi refunded fees and reimbursed purchasers heck-bent on cashing in posthumously, causing some users to slam the company for unclear communication and ultra-narrow market definitions. In the land of speculative finance, Kalshi has boldly said, 'No death profiteering... unless you sneak in a prediction *before* the grim reaper arrives.' Talk about theatrical timing in mortal matters!

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Source: Theverge | Published: 3/1/2026 | Author: Terrence O’Brien