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Hedge Funds Win Big Betting on China While Everyone Else Hit Snooze

KEY POINTS

  • At the start of 2025, hedge funds faced fears about China’s economic downturn and a potential US TikTok ban.
  • Despite concerns, Chinese companies aggressively increased stock buybacks and ByteDance secured a $350-$370 billion valuation.
  • Bridgewater, Tekne Capital, and Pinpoint's China-focused funds significantly outperformed industry averages for the year.

In a plot twist rarer than a polite internet comment section, hedge funds like Bridgewater ($92B boss), Tekne (Beeneet Kothari’s $1.5B baby), and Pinpoint ($3.4B flex) all laughed in the face of early 2025’s China doomsday alarm. Despite TikTok's US ban whispers and US vs China AI gladiator battles, China's buybacks surged, ByteDance flipped a majority US TikTok stake and earned a $350-$370B valuation from ex-Sequoia aka HSG, and startup DeepSeek chilled with Nvidia's newfound permission to sell H200 chips. Tekne even snagged a cool +50%, while Bridgewater convincingly bagged +34.2%. China-focused funds crushed the average 10.7% hedge fund return by nearly doubling it to 18%. Investors now clutch popcorn waiting for the US-China drama sequel, cautiously eyeing Taiwan and the micromanaging of chips.

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Source: Businessinsider | Published: 1/18/2026 | Author: Bradley Saacks