American Elections: The Political Groundhog Day Nobody Asked For
KEY POINTS
- ā¢Every president since Bill Clinton who gained full congressional control lost it within two years, highlighting persistent political volatility.
- ā¢About one third of Americans are die-hard Republicans, another third are die-hard Democrats, with the remaining roughly third consistently dissatisfied swing voters.
- ā¢Only about 10% of House races are competitive due to redistricting, making primaries, dominated by low-turnout activists, the real battlegrounds.
- ā¢Rising security fears, death threats, and MAGA factionalism have Republicans discussing early resignations, risking loss of their House majority before 2026 midterms.
Since Bill Clinton's sassiest dance moves on the political stage, every president has grabbed Congress, only to drop it like a hot mic within two years. Trump, Biden, Obama, Bush, and even Clinton tried defying the swing voterās mood swings ā spoiler alert: gravity always wins. Americaās voting blocks look like a bad Twitter breakup: one third Republicans, one third Democrats, and a chunky extra third just perpetually annoyed. About 90% of House races are micro-manufactured safe zones, so actual drama is buried in primaries with turnout worse than a DMV line. Meanwhile, Trumpās tax cuts, Bidenās green energy, and Obamacareās gifts land slower than a snail on molasses. Even Gallup agrees, with a sad 23% GOP Congress approval, down from 63% earlier in the year. Republicans openly chatting quitting Congress, thanks to MAGA infighting and rising death threats, makes the House seem like the world's messiest retirement home. Oh, and strategist Bruce Mehlman reminds us votersā āthermostaticā flips havenāt been this savage since the Gilded Age, proving that in US politics, the pendulum swings like a drunk on payday.
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Source: Axios | Published: 12/1/2025 | Author: Jim VandeHei