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GOP Hopes $4 Gas and Redistricting Will Fix 218 Seats Before Midterms

KEY POINTS

  • •Democrats lead by 7 points on the generic ballot according to the latest Fox News poll as midterms approach in 100 days.
  • •Republicans gained nine new seats from redistricting in nine states, but Democrats argue at least three are just rented.
  • •Senate races spotlight include Michigan's Aug. 4 Democratic primary, where Haley Stevens outpaces Abdul El-Sayed $50 million to $1 million in PAC funding.

As the 2026 midterms scramble into view, Democrats are cozying up to a surprising 7-point generic ballot lead, lighting cigars with Fox News polls. Despite Trump’s second presidential tour torching inflation like it’s a summer bonfire—especially lighting up that $4-a-gallon gas billboard—GOP strategists cling to nine new redistricting seats like grimly hopeful toddlers clutching a teddy bear. Meanwhile, in Iowa’s inflation-battered cornfields, Dems dream of flipping two out of four seats, because three out of four is just too ambitious. Over in the Senate, $50 million PAC money fuels Haley Stevens against Abdul El-Sayed’s $1 million pit stop in Michigan, with AOC quietly testing the waters for 2028 presidential gymnastics.

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Source: Axios | Published: 7/26/2026 | Author: Hans Nichols

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